Time To Prepare For Fall’s Anticipated ‘Surge 2.0,’ Experts Warn
After the last holiday weekend of summer and school reopening, public health experts warily eye coronavirus stats for an expected spike. Cases could peak a few weeks after Election Day. And a new model forecasts that the U.S. could reach 400,000 deaths by January.
AP:
The Summer Of COVID-19 Ends With Health Officials Worried
The Lost Summer of 2020 drew to a close Monday with many big Labor Day gatherings canceled across the U.S. and health authorities pleading with people to keep their distance from others so as not to cause another coronavirus surge like the one that followed Memorial Day. Downtown Atlanta was quiet as the 85,000 or so people who come dressed as their favorite superheroes or sci-fi characters for the annual Dragon Con convention met online instead. Huge football stadiums at places like Ohio State and the University of Texas sat empty. Many Labor Day parades marking the unofficial end of summer were called off, and masks were usually required at the few that went on. (Collins, 9/7)
The Washington Post:
Coronavirus 'Second Wave' Could Strike This Fall And Crest After Election Day
Infectious-disease experts are warning of a potential cold-weather surge of coronavirus cases — a long-feared “second wave” of infections and deaths, possibly at a catastrophic scale. It could begin well before Election Day, Nov. 3, although researchers assume the crest would come weeks later, closer to when fall gives way to winter. An autumn surge in covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, would not be an October surprise: It has been hypothesized since early in the pandemic because of the patterns of other respiratory viruses. (Achenbach and Weiner, 9/5)
ABC News:
As Americans Brace For 2nd Wave Of COVID-19, Here's Why Experts Predict More Infections But Fewer Deaths
As the United States braces itself for a likely "second wave" of COVID-19 this fall, many experts are anticipating a spike in cases -- but some say that may not translate into an equally dramatic spike in deaths. A lot has changed since the pandemic first hit the U.S. earlier this year, when the nation's hospitals were overwhelmed with patients suffering a new, mysterious illness. Fast forward to September, and the pandemic is still surging out of control in many parts of the country, but relatively speaking, fewer patients are dying from the virus. (Von Oehsen, 9/7)
The Hill:
Key Model Predicts 400,000 Coronavirus Deaths In US By January
A key forecasting model often cited by experts and used by the White House has revised its prediction of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S., now estimating a peak of 410,451 by Jan. 1. The model created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington posted an update Friday predicting an additional 224,000 Americans will die by the beginning of next year. (Moreno, 9/4)
And India overtakes Brazil to be the world's No. 2 hot spot —
NPR:
India Moves Into 2nd Place For COVID-19 Cases
India's recorded coronavirus case total has surpassed that of Brazil, making India the second worst-affected country in the world after the United States. India overtook Brazil on Monday after registering 90,802 fresh cases — the highest single-day increase any country has recorded so far during the pandemic. India's total cases are now more than 4.2 million. (Pathak, 9/7)
The Washington Post:
India Surpasses Brazil To Take Second Spot In Total Coronavirus Cases
India overtook Brazil to become the country with the second-highest number of coronavirus cases in the world as infections continue to accelerate in this country of more than 1.3 billion people.India added 90,802 cases — a fresh global record in the pandemic — in the last 24 hours, pushing its total past 4.2 million. Only the United States, with 6.2 million cases, has recorded more. Brazil had 4.1 million cases as of Sunday evening. (Slater and Masih, 9/7)
